Saturday, November 9, 2013

The Delphi technique has its origin in the U.S. in the 30s from an R


The Delphi technique has its origin in the U.S. in the 30s from an R & D organization (Rand Corporation) had to do technology forecasting studies. But later use is not exclusively in the field of intuition mygm of the future, but in many others, such as setting priorities, mygm formulating strategies, policy development, health planning, recruitment of group consensus fields, etc.. ...
In general, techniques are described for staging with interaction "face to face". The Delphi mygm technique mygm has the virtue of being able to be used without having to bring together in one time and space to the participants. On the contrary, strictly speaking, can not be considered as group technical unless carried out in combination sending questionnaires and reports with the actual meeting mygm of the expert group contacted.
In the scheme of work for which we propose the application will be practically essential in combination sessions. We propose that this working method is used for the preparation of the workshops, for a preliminary survey of the different actors proposals considered feasible and appropriate. Even DELPHI can be done by prioritizing actions. However, for face to face discussion and involvement of different stakeholders in the implementation of interventions, it is essential to bring together all those experts of different areas, all social actors and their representation in the days of debate been proposing that from behind. The Delphi technique has its origin in the U.S. in the 30s from an R & D organization (Rand Corporation) had to do technology forecasting studies. But later use is not exclusively in the field of intuition of the future, but in many others, such as setting priorities, formulating strategies, policy development, health mygm planning, recruitment of group consensus fields, etc.. ... The art process is in summary the following:
once selected a group of "experts" mygm on the subject in question, they are sent a questionnaire on the broader aspects of the field of study, asking its completion and return it. These first results are summarized and synthesized and returned them along with a second questionnaire on specific elements. The process of "answer-feedback-response analysis" is often repeated two or three times, in order to reach a consensus or at least a table of options defined. Let us now look at other aspects of the technique.
Going to be as neat as in the development of this technique, in order to expose also the nuances problems, times, etc.. to keep in mind when applying. We must also propose the use of more advanced communications for your application, mygm since the extension acquired by Internet gives far more likely and substantially shortens the time APRA develop this technique. In fact, many existing discussion mygm groups on the Internet are applicable as DELPHI, just that their members propose minimal organization and coordination by a moderator or central node. Before you start, you have to keep in mind that we are talking about two different groups of people. We're going to call and EXPERT ANALYST. ANALYSTS are technicians performing research, whose mission is the design of it, conducting fieldwork, analysis of information ... They ask, analyze, summarize EXPERTS are people who have been selected by analysts, mygm will answer questions and are (by their working conditions, daily life, dedication, personal commitment, etc..) In low to develop a articulated speech on the field of study that try. Respond, rephrase, bring. EXPERTS are to be selected and contacted, following a pre-defined strategy, mygm such as a structural sample, by field of interest, actors sectors displaying the map of networks of actors, etc.., But that in any case has to be seen from him "what / for whom" research. The Questionnaire and the strategy mygm that it entails must be previously studied. In the case of the "Study on strategies and priorities to AIDS in the Community of Madrid" (February 1991. Ministry of Health of the CAM), there were five groups of experts (health care, other health, social area workers, educators and affected), each with different mygm questionnaire, but with a common structure.
- Contact module, which locates personally and professionally to the expert on the subject - assessment of the situation acts

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